Championnat D1
— Gabon
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.26 (league 1.16)
0.66 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.9% | 47.2% | 40.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
40.1%
0 - 1
26.3%
1 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Lozo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stade Migoveen | 0 | 40.1% | 26.3% | 8.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Stade Migoveen carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 47 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Stade Migoveen -5.8, Lozo -14.8.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Stade Migoveen
vs
Lozo
Elo gapStade Migoveen +47
Home / draw / away43% / 25% / 32%
Expected home share57%
Combined Elo2914.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2914.8
Elo home share
57%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Stade Migoveen | Lozo |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1463.3 | 1451.5 |
| Form Elo | 1445.6 | 1445.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1477.4 | 1474.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1437.8 | 1385.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1527.8 | 1478.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -5.8 | -14.8 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Stade Migoveen last-5 Elo change: -5.8; Lozo last-5 Elo change: -14.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Stade Migoveen | Lozo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 13% | 6% |
| Defense | 75% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
41%
FT probability
2.5+
29%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Stade Migoveen | Lozo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 13% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Draws | 25% | 25% | 25% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Loses | 75% | 50% | 63% | 33% | 50% | 43% |
Stade MigoveenLLLDLWDL
LozoDWLWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Stade Migoveen | Lozo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Stade Migoveen | Lozo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 25% | 75% | 43% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 13% | 14% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Stade Migoveen | Lozo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Stade Migoveen | Lozo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Stade Migoveen | Lozo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Stade Migoveen | Lozo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 23% | 77% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 49.0% | 51.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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