Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 14:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.19)
1.28 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.8% | 29.5% | 54.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
20.6%
0 - 0
16.1%
0 - 2
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Bitam | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cercle Mbéri | 0 | 16.1% | 20.6% | 13.2% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Cercle Mbéri carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 69 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Cercle Mbéri +19.6, Bitam +10.0.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Cercle Mbéri
vs
Bitam
Elo gapCercle Mbéri +69
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo3055.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3055.7
Elo home share
60%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Cercle Mbéri | Bitam |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1544.8 | 1510.9 |
| Form Elo | 1565.1 | 1514.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1506.5 | 1527.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1465.8 | 1551.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1576.5 | 1494.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +19.6 | +10.0 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Cercle Mbéri last-5 Elo change: +19.6; Bitam last-5 Elo change: +10.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cercle Mbéri | Bitam |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 3 |
| Form | 60% | 67% |
| Attack | 31% | 44% |
| Defense | 88% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 2.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 2.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cercle Mbéri | Bitam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Wins | 50% | 25% | 38% | 0% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 13% | 100% | 0% | 33% |
Cercle MbériDWLDDDWW
BitamWWL
League goals
| Metric | Cercle Mbéri | Bitam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cercle Mbéri | Bitam | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 38% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 25% | 100% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cercle Mbéri | Bitam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cercle Mbéri | Bitam |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cercle Mbéri | Bitam |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | — | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 2-6 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cercle Mbéri | Bitam |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 27% | 73% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 56.8% | 43.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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