Sat, May 2 2026 • 13:00 •
Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.79)
1.29 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.2% | 19.9% | 21.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 1
8.5%
2 - 0
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Chanmari | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shillong Lajong | 0 | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Shillong Lajong carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 67 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Shillong Lajong +11.5, Chanmari +0.8.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Shillong Lajong
vs
Chanmari
Elo gapShillong Lajong +67
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo3012.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3012.5
Elo home share
60%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Shillong Lajong | Chanmari |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1522.2 | 1490.3 |
| Form Elo | 1539.6 | 1482.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1517.7 | 1508.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1565.7 | 1558.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1458.6 | 1497.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +11.5 | +0.8 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Shillong Lajong last-5 Elo change: +11.5; Chanmari last-5 Elo change: +0.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Shillong Lajong | Chanmari |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 80% | 70% |
| Defense | 60% | 10% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Shillong Lajong | Chanmari | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 40% | 60% | 50% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Draws | 40% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 20% | 20% | 20% | 40% | 60% | 50% |
Shillong LajongDWLWWDLWWD
ChanmariDWDLLLWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Shillong Lajong | Chanmari | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 6 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Shillong Lajong | Chanmari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 60% | 70% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 20% | 50% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Shillong Lajong | Chanmari | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Shillong Lajong | Chanmari |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Shillong Lajong | Chanmari |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Shillong Lajong | Chanmari |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 61.8% | 38.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…