Thu, Apr 30 2026 • 13:00 •
TRC Polo Synthetic Turf Ground
Expected Goals
3.36 (league 1.79)
1.00 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3% | 10.9% | 7.3% |
best score tips
3 - 1
8.1%
3 - 0
8.1%
2 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Gokulam | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Kashmir | 0 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.1% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Real Kashmir carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 86 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Real Kashmir -13.8, Gokulam -29.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Real Kashmir
vs
Gokulam
Elo gapReal Kashmir +86
Home / draw / away50% / 20% / 30%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo2956.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2956.7
Elo home share
62%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Real Kashmir | Gokulam |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1504 | 1452.7 |
| Form Elo | 1490.8 | 1435 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1517.7 | 1484.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1541.4 | 1543.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1497.8 | 1365.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -13.8 | -29.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Real Kashmir last-5 Elo change: -13.8; Gokulam last-5 Elo change: -29.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Kashmir | Gokulam |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 20% |
| Attack | 59% | 47% |
| Defense | 59% | 6% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 16 | 3.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Kashmir | Gokulam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 40% | 0% | 22% | 40% | 0% | 22% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 22% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| Loses | 60% | 50% | 56% | 40% | 75% | 56% |
Real KashmirDLDLLLLWW
GokulamDDLWLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Real Kashmir | Gokulam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 5 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Kashmir | Gokulam | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 89% | 56% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 67% | 44% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 0% | 11% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 11% | 22% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 22% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Kashmir | Gokulam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Kashmir | Gokulam |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Kashmir | Gokulam |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-2 | — | 4-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 6-2 |
| Goals For | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Kashmir | Gokulam |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 71.7% | 28.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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