Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 16:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.36 (league 1.54)
0.56 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5% | 15.2% | 7.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.1%
1 - 0
12.8%
3 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportivo Zap | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Racing de Veracruz | 0 | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.1% | 8.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.9% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Racing de Veracruz carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 158 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Racing de Veracruz +15.1, Deportivo Zap +10.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Racing de Veracruz
vs
Deportivo Zap
Elo gapRacing de Veracruz +158
Home / draw / away58% / 18% / 24%
Expected home share71%
Combined Elo3248.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3248.8
Elo home share
71%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Racing de Veracruz | Deportivo Zap |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1685.7 | 1563.1 |
| Form Elo | 1703.4 | 1569.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1579.1 | 1524 |
| Attack Elo | 1652.2 | 1534.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1685 | 1599.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +15.1 | +10.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Racing de Veracruz last-5 Elo change: +15.1; Deportivo Zap last-5 Elo change: +10.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Racing de Veracruz | Deportivo Zap |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 47% |
| Attack | 92% | 58% |
| Defense | 83% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Racing de Veracruz | Deportivo Zap | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 100% | 69% | 84% | 40% | 43% | 41% |
| Draws | 0% | 31% | 16% | 47% | 0% | 24% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 57% | 34% |
Racing de VeracruzWWWWWWWWWDWWWWWWDWWWWWDWD
Deportivo ZapLDWDLWLLWWWWLDLWWDLDLWWDWLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Racing de Veracruz | Deportivo Zap | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 34 | 21 | 55 | 25 | 22 | 47 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 30 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Racing de Veracruz | Deportivo Zap | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 32% | 72% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 68% | 4% | 45% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 0% | 21% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Racing de Veracruz | Deportivo Zap | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 9 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Racing de Veracruz | Deportivo Zap |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Racing de Veracruz | Deportivo Zap |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-7 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 2-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Racing de Veracruz | Deportivo Zap |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 61% | 39% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 64.7% | 35.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…