Sun, May 3 2026 • 10:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 2.20)
2.21 (league 2.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.3% | 20.0% | 57.0% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
1 - 1
8.7%
0 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Central Stallions | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Khovd | 0 | 3.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Central Stallions carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 77 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Khovd +3.1, Central Stallions +48.5.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Khovd
vs
Central Stallions
Elo gapCentral Stallions +77
Home / draw / away31% / 21% / 48%
Expected home share39%
Combined Elo2998.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2998.2
Elo home share
39%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Khovd | Central Stallions |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1442.9 | 1555.3 |
| Form Elo | 1433.1 | 1601 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1472.9 | 1532.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1682.2 | 1645.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1230.7 | 1415 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +3.1 | +48.5 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Khovd last-5 Elo change: +3.1; Central Stallions last-5 Elo change: +48.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Khovd | Central Stallions |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 87% |
| Attack | 63% | 47% |
| Defense | 16% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
64%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Khovd | Central Stallions | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 60% | 0% | 30% | 100% | 60% | 78% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 22% |
| Loses | 40% | 100% | 70% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
KhovdLLWLLWLWLL
Central StallionsWDWWWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Khovd | Central Stallions | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 4 | 21 | 10 | 16 | 26 |
| GF avg | 3.4 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| GA total | 8 | 23 | 31 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Khovd | Central Stallions | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 80% | 89% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 80% | 67% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 60% | 44% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 50% | 22% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 10% | 11% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Khovd | Central Stallions | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Khovd | Central Stallions |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Khovd | Central Stallions |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-0 | — | 4-2 | 1-10 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 8-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 8 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Khovd | Central Stallions |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 32% | 68% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 51% | 49% |
| Total | 42.7% | 57.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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