Premiership — Northern-Ireland
Tue, Apr 28 2026 • 18:45 • BMG Arena
Not Started

Annagh United

—

Crusaders FC

Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.53) 0.05 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.6% 90.7% 4.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
90.5%
0 - 1
4.5%
1 - 0
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
Crusaders FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Annagh United 0 90.5% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Annagh United carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 167 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Annagh United 0.0, Crusaders FC +30.8.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Annagh United Elo 1563.2 · 0.0
vs
Crusaders FC Elo 1431.1 · +30.8
Elo gapAnnagh United +167
Home / draw / away59% / 18% / 23%
Expected home share72%
Combined Elo2994.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2994.3
Elo home share 72%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Annagh United Crusaders FC
Overall Elo1563.21431.1
Form Elo1563.21438.2
Home / Away Elo1546.91472.9
Attack Elo1513.81493.1
Defense Elo1576.21298.9
Last 5 Elo change0.0+30.8

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Annagh United last-5 Elo change: 0.0; Crusaders FC last-5 Elo change: +30.8.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAnnagh UnitedCrusaders FC
Played05
Form0%67%
Attack0%34%
Defense0%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 010 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 09 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-2
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Annagh United Crusaders FC
HATHAT
Played000191938
Wins———21%32%26%
Draws———21%11%16%
Loses———58%58%58%
Annagh United—
Crusaders FCLWLLLWLDWLLLWWDLLLLLWDWLLLDLLLLLDLDWWW

League goals

Metric Annagh United Crusaders FC
HATHAT
GF total000262248
GF avg0.00.00.01.41.21.3
GA total000384381
GA avg0.00.00.02.02.32.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAnnagh UnitedCrusaders FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5——63%84%
1.5——42%58%
2.5——16%32%
3.5——5%26%
4.5——0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAnnagh UnitedCrusaders FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets000246
Failed to score0008614

Penalties

MetricAnnagh UnitedCrusaders FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricAnnagh UnitedCrusaders FC
Wins02
Draws01
Losses05

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——4-00-3
Biggest losses——0-46-1
Goals For0043
Goals Against0046

Model comparison

MetricAnnagh UnitedCrusaders FC
Form0%100%
Att0%100%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total0%0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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