Suomen Cup — Finland
Tue, Apr 28 2026 • 15:30 • Kimpisen stadion
Match Finished

PEPO

2 - 1

JJK

Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.31) 0.05 (league 3.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.6% 90.7% 4.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
90.5%
0 - 1
4.5%
1 - 0
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
JJK
0 1 2 3 4 5
PEPO 0 90.5% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home edge

PEPO carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 69 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: PEPO +10.9, JJK +11.9.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
PEPO Elo 1572.3 · +10.9
vs
JJK Elo 1538.8 · +11.9
Elo gapPEPO +69
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo3111.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3111.1
Elo home share 60%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric PEPO JJK
Overall Elo1572.31538.8
Form Elo1621.41592.4
Home / Away Elo1555.51496.1
Attack Elo1627.71547.9
Defense Elo1518.71495.8
Last 5 Elo change+10.9+11.9

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. PEPO last-5 Elo change: +10.9; JJK last-5 Elo change: +11.9.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPEPOJJK
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack3%3%
Defense100%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 11 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 00 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

21%
FT probability

2.5+

15%
FT probability

3.5+

11%
FT probability

BTTS

41%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PEPO JJK
HATHAT
Played011011
Wins—100%100%—100%100%
Draws—0%0%—0%0%
Loses—0%0%—0%0%
PEPOW
JJKW

League goals

Metric PEPO JJK
HATHAT
GF total011011
GF avg0.01.01.00.01.01.0
GA total000000
GA avg0.00.00.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePEPOJJK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%0%
1.50%0%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPEPOJJK
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricPEPOJJK
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPEPOJJK
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-1—0-1
Biggest losses————
Goals For0101
Goals Against0000

Model comparison

MetricPEPOJJK
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def0%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.0%50.0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Unibet
Draw3.90 @ Dafabet
Away2.16 @ Dafabet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.36 @ Bet365
No3.30 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair
📊

League standings

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