Suomen Cup — Finland
Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 15:15 • Pajbackan Kentta
Not Started

PIF

—

P-Iirot

Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.31) 0.05 (league 3.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.6% 90.7% 4.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
90.5%
0 - 1
4.5%
1 - 0
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
P-Iirot
0 1 2 3 4 5
PIF 0 90.5% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home edge

PIF carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 58 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: PIF +17.5, P-Iirot +13.7.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
PIF Elo 1517.5 · +17.5
vs
P-Iirot Elo 1494.9 · +13.7
Elo gapPIF +58
Home / draw / away44% / 23% / 33%
Expected home share58%
Combined Elo3012.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3012.4
Elo home share 58%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric PIF P-Iirot
Overall Elo1517.51494.9
Form Elo1596.21556.5
Home / Away Elo15001518.5
Attack Elo1530.81591.8
Defense Elo1516.51427.8
Last 5 Elo change+17.5+13.7

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. PIF last-5 Elo change: +17.5; P-Iirot last-5 Elo change: +13.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPIFP-Iirot
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack17%4%
Defense100%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 41 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 00 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

43%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

45%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PIF P-Iirot
HATHAT
Played011011
Wins—100%100%—100%100%
Draws—0%0%—0%0%
Loses—0%0%—0%0%
PIFW
P-IirotW

League goals

Metric PIF P-Iirot
HATHAT
GF total044011
GF avg0.04.04.00.01.01.0
GA total000000
GA avg0.00.00.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePIFP-Iirot
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%0%
1.5100%0%0%0%
2.5100%0%0%0%
3.5100%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPIFP-Iirot
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricPIFP-Iirot
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPIFP-Iirot
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-4—0-1
Biggest losses————
Goals For0401
Goals Against0000

Model comparison

MetricPIFP-Iirot
Form50%50%
Att80%20%
Def0%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total60.0%40.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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