Suomen Cup — Finland
Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 14:30 • Venue TBA
Not Started

RoPo

—

KPV-j

Expected Goals
9.17 (league 1.31) 3.08 (league 3.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.1% 1.5% 1.0%
best score tips
5 - 3
1.3%
5 - 2
1.2%
5 - 4
1.0%
Score & goals probability table
KPV-j
0 1 2 3 4 5
RoPo 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home lean

RoPo carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 43 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: RoPo -1.7, KPV-j -1.6.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
RoPo Elo 1498.3 · -1.7
vs
KPV-j Elo 1490.6 · -1.6
Elo gapRoPo +43
Home / draw / away42% / 25% / 33%
Expected home share56%
Combined Elo2988.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2988.9
Elo home share 56%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric RoPo KPV-j
Overall Elo1498.31490.6
Form Elo1490.61483.4
Home / Away Elo1499.31460.8
Attack Elo15041577.9
Defense Elo1493.61348.8
Last 5 Elo change-1.7-1.6

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. RoPo last-5 Elo change: -1.7; KPV-j last-5 Elo change: -1.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRoPoKPV-j
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack13%21%
Defense92%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 35 | 5
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 24 | 4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

8.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

8.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

100%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric RoPo KPV-j
HATHAT
Played101011
Wins100%—100%—100%100%
Draws0%—0%—0%0%
Loses0%—0%—0%0%
RoPoW
KPV-jW

League goals

Metric RoPo KPV-j
HATHAT
GF total303055
GF avg3.00.03.00.05.05.0
GA total202044
GA avg2.00.02.00.04.04.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRoPoKPV-j
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%100%100%100%
2.5100%0%100%100%
3.50%0%100%100%
4.50%0%100%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRoPoKPV-j
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricRoPoKPV-j
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%6 | 85.71%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 14.29%
Total57

Streaks

MetricRoPoKPV-j
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2——4-5
Biggest losses————
Goals For3005
Goals Against2004

Model comparison

MetricRoPoKPV-j
Form50%50%
Att38%63%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total59.5%40.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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