Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.31)
1.84 (league 3.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8% | 16.6% | 81.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
27.8%
0 - 2
25.6%
0 - 3
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
| ÅIFK | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| MaPS | 0 | 15.3% | 28.0% | 25.5% | 15.6% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: MaPS +16.0, ÅIFK +19.3.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
MaPS
vs
ÅIFK
Elo gapMaPS +16
Home / draw / away37% / 28% / 35%
Expected home share52%
Combined Elo3047.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3047.5
Elo home share
52%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | MaPS | ÅIFK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1514.2 | 1533.3 |
| Form Elo | 1586.2 | 1620.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1499.3 | 1513.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1524.1 | 1596.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1506.6 | 1515.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +16.0 | +19.3 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. MaPS last-5 Elo change: +16.0; ÅIFK last-5 Elo change: +19.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | MaPS | ÅIFK |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Form | 100% | 100% |
| Attack | 13% | 20% |
| Defense | 97% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
10.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
61%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | MaPS | ÅIFK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | — | 100% | 100% | — | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | — | 0% | 0% | — | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | — | 0% | 0% | — | 0% | 0% |
MaPSW
ÅIFKW
League goals
| Metric | MaPS | ÅIFK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | MaPS | ÅIFK | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 100% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | MaPS | ÅIFK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | MaPS | ÅIFK |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | MaPS | ÅIFK |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-4 | — | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | MaPS | ÅIFK |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 37.0% | 63.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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