Ligue 1
— Ivory-Coast
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 18:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 0.96)
0.91 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.6% | 31.2% | 31.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
0 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| SOA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Korhogo | 0 | 14.3% | 13.0% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 13.5% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Korhogo carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 80 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Korhogo -16.8, SOA -24.8.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Korhogo
vs
SOA
Elo gapKorhogo +80
Home / draw / away48% / 21% / 31%
Expected home share61%
Combined Elo3024.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3024.9
Elo home share
61%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Korhogo | SOA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1534.9 | 1490 |
| Form Elo | 1528.1 | 1480.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1475.8 | 1503.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1499.7 | 1379.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1609.2 | 1623.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -16.8 | -24.8 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Korhogo last-5 Elo change: -16.8; SOA last-5 Elo change: -24.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Korhogo | SOA |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 20% |
| Attack | 55% | 36% |
| Defense | 0% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Korhogo | SOA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 14 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 18% | 50% | 36% | 38% | 25% | 32% |
| Draws | 27% | 36% | 32% | 31% | 25% | 28% |
| Loses | 55% | 14% | 32% | 31% | 50% | 40% |
KorhogoDWLDWDWWLLWWDLDWDDLWLLWLD
SOADWDWWLLLWLLDWLWLWLWDLDDDL
League goals
| Metric | Korhogo | SOA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 15 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 14 | 8 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Korhogo | SOA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 52% | 60% | 56% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 16% | 12% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Korhogo | SOA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Korhogo | SOA |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Korhogo | SOA |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Korhogo | SOA |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 56.7% | 43.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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