Expected Goals
2.43 (league 1.41)
0.15 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 84.2% | 10.6% | 1.4% |
best score tips
2 - 0
22.4%
1 - 0
18.4%
3 - 0
18.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Menzel Bourguiba | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CS Hammam-Lif | 0 | 7.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.4% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 22.4% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 18.1% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
CS Hammam-Lif carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 235 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: CS Hammam-Lif +1.8, Menzel Bourguiba -48.7.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
CS Hammam-Lif
vs
Menzel Bourguiba
Elo gapCS Hammam-Lif +235
Home / draw / away65% / 18% / 17%
Expected home share79%
Combined Elo2976.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2976.9
Elo home share
79%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | CS Hammam-Lif | Menzel Bourguiba |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1588.6 | 1388.3 |
| Form Elo | 1597.5 | 1359.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1547.1 | 1433.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1538 | 1362.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1643 | 1419.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +1.8 | -48.7 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. CS Hammam-Lif last-5 Elo change: +1.8; Menzel Bourguiba last-5 Elo change: -48.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | CS Hammam-Lif | Menzel Bourguiba |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 0% |
| Attack | 50% | 0% |
| Defense | 67% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | CS Hammam-Lif | Menzel Bourguiba | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 73% | 50% | 61% | 17% | 0% | 9% |
| Draws | 18% | 17% | 17% | 42% | 27% | 35% |
| Loses | 9% | 33% | 22% | 42% | 73% | 57% |
CS Hammam-LifLWWWDWWWWWDDLLWDWWLWLWW
Menzel BourguibaLWLLDDDLLDDLDWLDLDLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | CS Hammam-Lif | Menzel Bourguiba | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 13 | 34 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 3 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 20 | 35 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | CS Hammam-Lif | Menzel Bourguiba | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 48% | 39% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 9% | 13% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 4% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | CS Hammam-Lif | Menzel Bourguiba | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | CS Hammam-Lif | Menzel Bourguiba |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | CS Hammam-Lif | Menzel Bourguiba |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | CS Hammam-Lif | Menzel Bourguiba |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 79% | 21% |
| Poisson Distribution | 95% | 5% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 67.7% | 32.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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