USL League One Cup — USA
Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 23:00 • Riccardo Silva Stadium
Not Started

Miami FC

—

Naples

Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.00) 0.05 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.6% 90.7% 4.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
90.5%
0 - 1
4.5%
1 - 0
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
Naples
0 1 2 3 4 5
Miami FC 0 90.5% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home edge

Miami FC carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 57 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Miami FC 0.0, Naples 0.0.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Miami FC Elo 1492.6 · 0.0
vs
Naples Elo 1470.5 · 0.0
Elo gapMiami FC +57
Home / draw / away44% / 23% / 33%
Expected home share58%
Combined Elo2963.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2963.1
Elo home share 58%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Miami FC Naples
Overall Elo1492.61470.5
Form Elo1492.61470.5
Home / Away Elo14821474.8
Attack Elo1441.51459.8
Defense Elo1507.91507.9
Last 5 Elo change0.00.0

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Miami FC last-5 Elo change: 0.0; Naples last-5 Elo change: 0.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMiami FCNaples
Played10
Form100%0%
Attack8%0%
Defense100%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 10 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 00 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

7%
FT probability

2.5+

5%
FT probability

3.5+

4%
FT probability

BTTS

20%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Miami FC Naples
HATHAT
Played011000
Wins—100%100%———
Draws—0%0%———
Loses—0%0%———
Miami FCW
Naples—

League goals

Metric Miami FC Naples
HATHAT
GF total011000
GF avg0.01.01.00.00.00.0
GA total000000
GA avg0.00.00.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMiami FCNaples
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%——
1.50%0%——
2.50%0%——
3.50%0%——
4.50%0%——

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMiami FCNaples
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricMiami FCNaples
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMiami FCNaples
Wins10
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-1——
Biggest losses————
Goals For0100
Goals Against0000

Model comparison

MetricMiami FCNaples
Form100%0%
Att100%0%
Def0%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals60%40%
Total60.0%40.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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