Sun, May 3 2026 • 20:30 •
Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.37)
0.77 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.4% | 32.3% | 26.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.1%
0 - 0
16.4%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Portmore United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Racing United | 0 | 16.4% | 12.5% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.1% | 13.1% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Racing United -54.4, Portmore United +15.9.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Racing United
vs
Portmore United
Elo gapPortmore United +8
Home / draw / away35% / 29% / 36%
Expected home share49%
Combined Elo3078.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3078.9
Elo home share
49%
Match tone
Strong Watch
| Metric | Racing United | Portmore United |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1518.2 | 1560.7 |
| Form Elo | 1488.5 | 1563.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1524.9 | 1533.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1484.8 | 1465.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1588 | 1624.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -54.4 | +15.9 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Racing United last-5 Elo change: -54.4; Portmore United last-5 Elo change: +15.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Racing United | Portmore United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 67% |
| Attack | 13% | 33% |
| Defense | 40% | 87% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Racing United | Portmore United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 18 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 37 |
| Wins | 37% | 33% | 35% | 41% | 45% | 43% |
| Draws | 47% | 44% | 46% | 41% | 35% | 38% |
| Loses | 16% | 22% | 19% | 18% | 20% | 19% |
Racing UnitedWWWDDDWLWDWWDDDDWDDDWDWWLWLWDDDDLDLLL
Portmore UnitedWDLWWDDWWWWLLDDDWDDDWWWDLDWDLWLDWDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Racing United | Portmore United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 23 | 48 | 23 | 27 | 50 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 11 | 22 | 33 | 13 | 21 | 34 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Racing United | Portmore United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 54% | 73% | 54% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 22% | 41% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 8% | 11% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 5% | 11% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Racing United | Portmore United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 10 | 7 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Racing United | Portmore United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 75.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 25.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Racing United | Portmore United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-4 | 4-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Racing United | Portmore United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 9% | 91% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 18% | 82% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 31.2% | 69.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…