Cup — Russia
Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 16:30 • Ozon Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.40) 0.39 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.3% 28.7% 10.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.0%
0 - 0
18.2%
2 - 0
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
CSKA Moscow
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Krasnodar 0 18.2% 7.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 9.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.8% 6.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC KrasnodarCSKA Moscow
Played55
Form80%80%
Attack67%56%
Defense78%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Krasnodar CSKA Moscow
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins75%80%78%80%50%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses25%20%22%20%50%33%

Form: FC Krasnodar: LWWWWWWWL • CSKA Moscow: WLWLWWLWW

League goals

Metric FC Krasnodar CSKA Moscow
HATHAT
GF total9142312416
GF avg2.32.82.62.41.01.8
GA total2797310
GA avg0.51.41.01.40.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC KrasnodarCSKA Moscow
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%56%89%78%
1.567%33%56%33%
2.556%11%33%0%
3.533%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC KrasnodarCSKA Moscow
HATHAT
Clean sheets314022
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricFC KrasnodarCSKA Moscow
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricFC KrasnodarCSKA Moscow
Wins72
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-43-10-2
Biggest losses1-23-11-22-1
Goals For4432
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricFC KrasnodarCSKA Moscow
Form50%50%
Att55%45%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h29%71%
Goals41%59%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or CSKA Moscow

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ 1xBet
Draw3.96 @ 1xBet
Away4.10 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.45 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ 188Bet
No2.40 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Krasnodar = 1.32 (league 1.40), CSKA Moscow = 0.39 (league 1.30)

CSKA Moscow
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Krasnodar 0 18.2% 7.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 9.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.8% 6.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.3% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 10.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1