Cup — Russia
Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 17:45 • Lukoil Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.40) 1.80 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.9% 23.1% 47.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Dynamo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Moscow 0 4.5% 8.0% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.9% 10.5% 9.5% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.8% 6.9% 6.2% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.7% 3.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak MoscowDynamo
Played55
Form80%60%
Attack65%60%
Defense50%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Moscow Dynamo
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%80%67%60%50%56%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%20%33%40%50%44%

Form: Spartak Moscow: WLWLWWWWL • Dynamo: WLLWLWWLW

League goals

Metric Spartak Moscow Dynamo
HATHAT
GF total9122112719
GF avg2.32.42.32.41.82.1
GA total59149312
GA avg1.31.81.61.80.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak MoscowDynamo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%78%56%78%
1.578%44%56%33%
2.544%11%56%11%
3.511%11%33%11%
4.50%11%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak MoscowDynamo
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score000224

Penalties

MetricSpartak MoscowDynamo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricSpartak MoscowDynamo
Wins42
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-34-00-4
Biggest losses1-25-20-41-0
Goals For4354
Goals Against2541

Model comparison

MetricSpartak MoscowDynamo
Form57%43%
Att52%48%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h38%62%
Goals39%61%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Dynamo

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ 188Bet
Draw4.25 @ 1xBet
Away4.35 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.54 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.53 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.51 @ Marathonbet
No2.50 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spartak Moscow = 1.31 (league 1.40), Dynamo = 1.80 (league 1.30)

Dynamo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Moscow 0 4.5% 8.0% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.9% 10.5% 9.5% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.8% 6.9% 6.2% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.7% 3.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.9% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 47.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1