Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 11:45 •
Markaziy Stadium
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.40)
0.27 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 79.4% | 14.9% | 3.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
20.6%
1 - 0
19.2%
3 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Surkhon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nasaf | 0 | 9.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.2% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.6% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.8% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nasaf | Surkhon |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 78% | 11% |
| Attack | 29% | 7% |
| Defense | 93% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 6 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nasaf | Surkhon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
Form: Nasaf: WWD • Surkhon: LLD
League goals
| Metric | Nasaf | Surkhon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nasaf | Surkhon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 33% | 33% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nasaf | Surkhon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nasaf | Surkhon |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nasaf | Surkhon |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nasaf | Surkhon |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88% | 13% |
| Att | 80% | 20% |
| Def | 86% | 14% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 83.4% | 16.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Nasaf or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.60 @ Bet365
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away6.36 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.27 @ Pinnacle
No1.65 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Nasaf
vs
Surkhon
Expected goals
2.15
Nasaf xG
League Avg: 1.40
Total
2.41
0.27
Surkhon xG
League Avg: 1.13
1x2 probabilities
Home
79.4%
Draw
14.9%
Away
3.5%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
20.6%
Tip
1 - 0
19.2%
Tip
3 - 0
14.8%
More chances
1.5+
64%
Chance
2.5+
45%
Chance
3.5+
32%
Chance
BTTS
62%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 2
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Nasaf = 2.15 (league 1.40), Surkhon = 0.27 (league 1.13)
| Surkhon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nasaf | 0 | 9.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.2% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.6% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.8% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.4% · Draw 14.9% · Away win 3.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1