Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 01:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.20)
3.75 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.8% | 10.1% | 64.2% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.4%
1 - 4
6.9%
0 - 3
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| CD Motagua | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Victoria | 0 | 0.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Victoria | CD Motagua |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 57% | 36% |
| Defense | 0% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Victoria | CD Motagua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| Wins | 29% | 12% | 21% | 40% | 53% | 46% |
| Draws | 12% | 24% | 18% | 40% | 21% | 31% |
| Loses | 59% | 65% | 62% | 20% | 26% | 23% |
Form: Victoria: LLLLLLWLLLDDLLLLWWWDDDDWLWLLLLLWLL • CD Motagua: LLLDWWWDWDWDLWWWWDLWLLDDWDDWDWWDWWWDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Victoria | CD Motagua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 18 | 43 | 32 | 34 | 66 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 37 | 33 | 70 | 31 | 19 | 50 |
| GA avg | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Victoria | CD Motagua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 97% | 77% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 65% | 49% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 29% | 26% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 12% | 8% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Victoria | CD Motagua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Victoria | CD Motagua |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Victoria | CD Motagua |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-7 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-1 | 0-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Victoria | CD Motagua |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 31.8% | 68.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or CD Motagua
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home6.15 @ 1xBet
Draw4.10 @ Bet365
Away1.55 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.77 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No1.91 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Victoria
vs
CD Motagua
Expected goals
1.25
Victoria xG
League Avg: 1.20
Total
5.00
3.75
CD Motagua xG
League Avg: 1.06
1x2 probabilities
Home
7.8%
Draw
10.1%
Away
64.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 3
7.4%
Tip
1 - 4
6.9%
Tip
0 - 3
5.9%
More chances
1.5+
92%
Chance
2.5+
65%
Chance
3.5+
46%
Chance
BTTS
75%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Victoria = 1.25 (league 1.20), CD Motagua = 3.75 (league 1.06)
| CD Motagua | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Victoria | 0 | 0.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.8% · Draw 10.1% · Away win 64.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1