Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 14:00 •
Longmead Stadium
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.56)
1.70 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.3% | 23.5% | 43.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
9.0%
2 - 1
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Ebbsfleet United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | 0 | 4.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tonbridge Angels | Ebbsfleet United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 60% |
| Attack | 29% | 71% |
| Defense | 71% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tonbridge Angels | Ebbsfleet United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 20 | 21 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 41 |
| Wins | 30% | 38% | 34% | 57% | 35% | 46% |
| Draws | 35% | 19% | 27% | 29% | 25% | 27% |
| Loses | 35% | 43% | 39% | 14% | 40% | 27% |
Form: Tonbridge Angels: DLDDLDLWWWLDDWLLDLWLWDLLDDWWLDLLWWLWLWWWL • Ebbsfleet United: WWWLDLDDLDWLWWWLWLDLWWWWWLWDDDWDLDDWWLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Tonbridge Angels | Ebbsfleet United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 30 | 24 | 54 | 36 | 27 | 63 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 30 | 27 | 57 | 20 | 30 | 50 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tonbridge Angels | Ebbsfleet United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 78% | 88% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 37% | 46% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 15% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 2% | 7% | 5% | 2% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tonbridge Angels | Ebbsfleet United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tonbridge Angels | Ebbsfleet United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 75.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 25.00% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tonbridge Angels | Ebbsfleet United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tonbridge Angels | Ebbsfleet United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 30% | 70% |
| Total | 42.5% | 57.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ebbsfleet United
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.60 @ BetVictor
Draw3.76 @ Pinnacle
Away2.00 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.12 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tonbridge Angels = 1.44 (league 1.56), Ebbsfleet United = 1.70 (league 1.24)
| Ebbsfleet United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | 0 | 4.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.3% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 43.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1
