Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 10:00 • Estadio Vicente Sanz
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.86 (league 1.45) 0.46 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.2% 10.1% 3.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.9%
3 - 0
14.2%
1 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Santa Amalia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Don Benito 0 3.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.4% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.9% 6.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.2% 6.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.1% 4.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDon BenitoSanta Amalia
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack89%67%
Defense56%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

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Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Don Benito Santa Amalia
HATHAT
Played151429151429
Wins73%50%62%40%21%31%
Draws27%21%24%27%14%21%
Loses0%29%14%33%64%48%

Form: Don Benito: LWWWDWWDDWWLWDWWDWWDLWWWLWDWW • Santa Amalia: WWLDLWLDWDLDLWWLWWDLLLLLLWLLD

League goals

Metric Don Benito Santa Amalia
HATHAT
GF total342458151429
GF avg2.31.72.01.01.01.0
GA total81119202545
GA avg0.50.80.71.31.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDon BenitoSanta Amalia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%48%66%79%
1.548%14%31%48%
2.528%3%3%21%
3.514%0%0%7%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDon BenitoSanta Amalia
HATHAT
Clean sheets8715516
Failed to score0334610

Penalties

MetricDon BenitoSanta Amalia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricDon BenitoSanta Amalia
Wins32
Draws21
Losses16

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-73-20-2
Biggest losses—3-00-43-0
Goals For6732
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricDon BenitoSanta Amalia
Form71%29%
Att57%43%
Def76%24%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total72.3%27.8%

Advice: Winner : Don Benito

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.20 @ William Hill
Draw5.60 @ Pinnacle
Away19.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.20 @ Marathonbet
No1.35 @ William Hill
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League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Don Benito
vs
Santa Amalia
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 • Spain • Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 10:00 • Estadio Vicente Sanz
Expected goals
2.86
Don Benito xG League Avg: 1.45
Total
3.31
0.46
Santa Amalia xG League Avg: 1.10
1x2 probabilities
Home
79.2%
Draw
10.1%
Away
3.6%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
14.9%
Tip
3 - 0
14.2%
Tip
1 - 0
10.4%
More chances
1.5+
78%
Chance
2.5+
55%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#DonBenito #SantaAmalia #TerceraDivisiónRfefGroup14 #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Don Benito = 2.86 (league 1.45), Santa Amalia = 0.46 (league 1.10)

Santa Amalia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Don Benito 0 3.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.4% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.9% 6.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.2% 6.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.1% 4.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.2% · Draw 10.1% · Away win 3.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1