Mon, Apr 20 2026 • 17:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
4.24 (league 2.12)
1.06 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
best score tips
4 - 1
7.1%
4 - 0
6.7%
3 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Francs Borains U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kortrijk U21 | 0 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.7% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Kortrijk U21 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 206 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Kortrijk U21 +19.3, Francs Borains U21 -13.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Kortrijk U21
vs
Francs Borains U21
Elo gapKortrijk U21 +206
Home / draw / away63% / 18% / 19%
Expected home share77%
Combined Elo3041.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3041.7
Elo home share
77%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Kortrijk U21 | Francs Borains U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1606.4 | 1435.3 |
| Form Elo | 1617.4 | 1418.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1533.4 | 1458.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1835.6 | 1488.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1566.2 | 1345.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +19.3 | -13.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Kortrijk U21 last-5 Elo change: +19.3; Francs Borains U21 last-5 Elo change: -13.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kortrijk U21 | Francs Borains U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 40% |
| Attack | 64% | 28% |
| Defense | 84% | 52% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
60%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kortrijk U21 | Francs Borains U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 60% | 60% | 60% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Draws | 10% | 10% | 10% | 30% | 0% | 15% |
| Loses | 30% | 30% | 30% | 30% | 80% | 55% |
Kortrijk U21WWWLLWLLDDWWWWLWWWWL
Francs Borains U21WLWLWLLLDLLDDLWWLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Kortrijk U21 | Francs Borains U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 27 | 58 | 16 | 12 | 28 |
| GF avg | 3.1 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 15 | 13 | 28 | 21 | 29 | 50 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kortrijk U21 | Francs Borains U21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 80% | 70% | 95% |
| 1.5 | 70% | 40% | 35% | 70% |
| 2.5 | 45% | 10% | 15% | 45% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 10% | 10% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 0% | 5% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kortrijk U21 | Francs Borains U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kortrijk U21 | Francs Borains U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kortrijk U21 | Francs Borains U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-1 | 0-7 | 3-1 | 2-6 |
| Biggest losses | 3-4 | 4-2 | 1-6 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 8 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kortrijk U21 | Francs Borains U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 75.0% | 25.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Kortrijk U21
vs
Francs Borains U21
Expected goals
4.24
Kortrijk U21 xG
League Avg: 2.12
Total
5.30
1.06
Francs Borains U21 xG
League Avg: 1.70
1x2 probabilities
Home
63.3%
Draw
6.9%
Away
4.3%
Best score tips
Tip
4 - 1
7.1%
Tip
4 - 0
6.7%
Tip
3 - 1
6.7%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
85%
Chance
3.5+
60%
Chance
BTTS
85%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Kortrijk U21 = 4.15 (league 2.17), Francs Borains U21 = 1.06 (league 1.70)
| Francs Borains U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kortrijk U21 | 0 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.7% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.1% · Draw 7.3% · Away win 4.6%
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