Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 23:00 •
Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Fortaleza EC +18.3, Criciuma -3.7.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Fortaleza EC
vs
Criciuma
Elo gapFortaleza EC +17
Home / draw / away37% / 28% / 35%
Expected home share52%
Combined Elo3135
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3135
Elo home share
52%
Match tone
Strong Watch
| Metric | Fortaleza EC | Criciuma |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1558.3 | 1576.7 |
| Form Elo | 1601.2 | 1563.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1516.3 | 1527.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1509.4 | 1512.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1547.3 | 1605.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +18.3 | -3.7 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Fortaleza EC last-5 Elo change: +18.3; Criciuma last-5 Elo change: -3.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
No predictions available for this fixture.
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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vtt 1 , vtd1