Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 16:00 •
Grorud Matchbane
Expected Goals
3.18 (league 2.04)
2.43 (league 1.61)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.9% | 16.3% | 26.1% |
best score tips
3 - 2
5.8%
2 - 2
5.5%
3 - 1
4.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Skeid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grorud | 0 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Grorud carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 140 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Grorud -1.1, Skeid +1.7.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Grorud
vs
Skeid
Elo gapGrorud +140
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share69%
Combined Elo2987.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2987.4
Elo home share
69%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Grorud | Skeid |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1546.4 | 1441 |
| Form Elo | 1550.1 | 1443.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1501 | 1448.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1628.8 | 1558.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1514.9 | 1336.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -1.1 | +1.7 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Grorud last-5 Elo change: -1.1; Skeid last-5 Elo change: +1.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Grorud | Skeid |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 33% |
| Attack | 19% | 24% |
| Defense | 81% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 5 | 1.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 7 | 2.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Grorud | Skeid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
GrorudLDW
SkeidLWL
League goals
| Metric | Grorud | Skeid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Grorud | Skeid | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | 33% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Grorud | Skeid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Grorud | Skeid |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Grorud | Skeid |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 2-3 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-2 | 5-3 |
| Goals For | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Grorud | Skeid |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 53.0% | 47.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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