Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 07:00 •
McDonald Jones Stadium
Expected Goals
2.54 (league 1.56)
1.79 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.0% | 18.7% | 25.9% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.6%
2 - 2
6.8%
3 - 1
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Central Coast Mariners | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newcastle Jets | 0 | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Newcastle Jets | Central Coast Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 62% | 54% |
| Defense | 31% | 23% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Newcastle Jets | Central Coast Mariners | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 50% | 62% | 56% | 23% | 42% | 32% |
| Draws | 8% | 15% | 12% | 54% | 8% | 32% |
| Loses | 42% | 23% | 32% | 23% | 50% | 36% |
Form: Newcastle Jets: LWLLLWLWWLWWWWWWWWDWLWLDD • Central Coast Mariners: WLDWLDLLLLWLDDWWWDWDLDLDW
League goals
| Metric | Newcastle Jets | Central Coast Mariners | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 25 | 51 | 17 | 18 | 35 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 20 | 19 | 39 | 17 | 21 | 38 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Newcastle Jets | Central Coast Mariners | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 84% | 84% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 64% | 40% | 36% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 20% | 16% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 16% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Newcastle Jets | Central Coast Mariners | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Newcastle Jets | Central Coast Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Newcastle Jets | Central Coast Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 1-3 | 3-2 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Newcastle Jets | Central Coast Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 61% | 39% |
| Total | 52.2% | 47.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Newcastle Jets or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Newcastle Jets
vs
Central Coast Mariners
Expected goals
2.54
Newcastle Jets xG
League Avg: 1.56
Total
4.33
1.79
Central Coast Mariners xG
League Avg: 1.43
1x2 probabilities
Home
50.0%
Draw
18.7%
Away
25.9%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
7.6%
Tip
2 - 2
6.8%
Tip
3 - 1
6.4%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
69%
Chance
3.5+
49%
Chance
BTTS
80%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Newcastle Jets = 2.54 (league 1.56), Central Coast Mariners = 1.79 (league 1.43)
| Central Coast Mariners | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newcastle Jets | 0 | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.0% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 25.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1