Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 •
Red Bull Arena
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.81)
1.16 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.1% | 23.6% | 25.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Werder Bremen W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| RB Leipzig W | 0 | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.3% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | Werder Bremen W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 53% | 42% |
| Defense | 68% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | Werder Bremen W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 36% | 27% | 32% | 70% | 30% | 50% |
| Draws | 18% | 27% | 23% | 30% | 20% | 25% |
| Loses | 45% | 45% | 45% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: RB Leipzig W: WLLLDWLWWLLLLLLDWWDDWD • Werder Bremen W: DWWLLWLWWWDWWLDDDWLW
League goals
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | Werder Bremen W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 19 | 35 | 19 | 12 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 17 | 24 | 41 | 8 | 21 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | RB Leipzig W | Werder Bremen W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 86% | 80% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 59% | 55% | 45% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 32% | 20% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 9% | 10% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | Werder Bremen W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | Werder Bremen W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 8 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 8 |
Streaks
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | Werder Bremen W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-4 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | — | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | Werder Bremen W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 56.2% | 43.8% |
Advice: Double chance : RB Leipzig W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): RB Leipzig W = 1.74 (league 1.81), Werder Bremen W = 1.16 (league 1.55)
| Werder Bremen W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| RB Leipzig W | 0 | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.3% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.1% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 25.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1
