1. Liga — Latvia
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 18:00 • Ogres stadions
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.82) 0.65 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.2% 19.9% 11.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
2 - 0
14.1%
3 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
JDFS Alberts
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ogre United 0 7.2% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.2% 9.3% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.1% 9.2% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.3% 6.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.6% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOgre UnitedJDFS Alberts
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack74%63%
Defense100%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 05 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ogre United JDFS Alberts
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins91%55%73%73%55%64%
Draws9%18%14%27%27%27%
Loses0%27%14%0%18%9%

Form: Ogre United: WWDWWWWLLDWLWWWWWWWWWD • JDFS Alberts: WWWWDWWWDDWDLWWDWDLWWW

League goals

Metric Ogre United JDFS Alberts
HATHAT
GF total332760252651
GF avg3.02.52.72.32.42.3
GA total4131771320
GA avg0.41.20.80.61.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOgre UnitedJDFS Alberts
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%45%91%59%
1.564%23%64%23%
2.559%9%27%5%
3.523%0%23%5%
4.59%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOgre UnitedJDFS Alberts
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512639
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricOgre UnitedJDFS Alberts
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricOgre UnitedJDFS Alberts
Wins94
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-10-78-11-6
Biggest losses—3-1—4-2
Goals For8786
Goals Against1324

Model comparison

MetricOgre UnitedJDFS Alberts
Form57%43%
Att54%46%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h13%88%
Goals27%73%
Total45.6%54.6%

Advice: Double chance : Ogre United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away2.39 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.35 @ Marathonbet
No2.90 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ogre United = 1.98 (league 1.82), JDFS Alberts = 0.65 (league 1.47)

JDFS Alberts
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ogre United 0 7.2% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.2% 9.3% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.1% 9.2% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.3% 6.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.6% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.2% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 11.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1