EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Oct 7 2025 • 18:00 • Highbury Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.63 (league 2.21) 1.32 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.5% 11.1% 9.2%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.5%
4 - 1
6.8%
2 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Leeds United U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fleetwood Town 0 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.6% 3.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 4.7% 6.2% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 5.6% 7.5% 4.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 5.1% 6.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
5 3.7% 4.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFleetwood TownLeeds United U21
Played11
Form33%0%
Attack12%6%
Defense88%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 21 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 24 | 4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

64%
FT probability

BTTS

98%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fleetwood Town Leeds United U21
HATHAT
Played101011
Wins0%—0%—0%0%
Draws100%—100%—0%0%
Loses0%—0%—100%100%

Form: Fleetwood Town: D • Leeds United U21: L

League goals

Metric Fleetwood Town Leeds United U21
HATHAT
GF total202011
GF avg2.00.02.00.01.01.0
GA total202044
GA avg2.00.02.00.04.04.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFleetwood TownLeeds United U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%100%0%100%
2.50%0%0%100%
3.50%0%0%100%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFleetwood TownLeeds United U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricFleetwood TownLeeds United U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFleetwood TownLeeds United U21
Wins00
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses———4-1
Goals For2001
Goals Against2004

Model comparison

MetricFleetwood TownLeeds United U21
Form100%0%
Att67%33%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total68.3%31.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Fleetwood Town or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Unibet
Draw4.15 @ 188Bet
Away4.30 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.60 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ 188Bet
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fleetwood Town = 3.63 (league 2.21), Leeds United U21 = 1.32 (league 1.51)

Leeds United U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fleetwood Town 0 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.6% 3.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 4.7% 6.2% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 5.6% 7.5% 4.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 5.1% 6.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
5 3.7% 4.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.5% · Draw 11.1% · Away win 9.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1