EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Oct 7 2025 • 18:45 • JobServe Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 2.21) 2.64 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.5% 15.2% 69.1%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.0%
1 - 2
9.1%
0 - 3
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Gillingham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colchester 0 2.9% 7.6% 10.0% 8.8% 5.8% 3.1%
1 2.6% 6.9% 9.1% 8.0% 5.3% 2.8%
2 1.2% 3.1% 4.1% 3.6% 2.4% 1.3%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricColchesterGillingham
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack12%24%
Defense94%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 24 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 11 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Colchester Gillingham
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins—100%100%100%—100%
Draws—0%0%0%—0%
Loses—0%0%0%—0%

Form: Colchester: W • Gillingham: W

League goals

Metric Colchester Gillingham
HATHAT
GF total022404
GF avg0.02.02.04.00.04.0
GA total011101
GA avg0.01.01.01.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineColchesterGillingham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.50%0%100%0%
3.50%0%100%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricColchesterGillingham
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricColchesterGillingham
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricColchesterGillingham
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-24-1—
Biggest losses————
Goals For0240
Goals Against0110

Model comparison

MetricColchesterGillingham
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total48.6%51.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Colchester or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Bet365
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.95 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Colchester = 0.91 (league 2.21), Gillingham = 2.64 (league 1.51)

Gillingham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colchester 0 2.9% 7.6% 10.0% 8.8% 5.8% 3.1%
1 2.6% 6.9% 9.1% 8.0% 5.3% 2.8%
2 1.2% 3.1% 4.1% 3.6% 2.4% 1.3%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.5% · Draw 15.2% · Away win 69.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1