Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 11:00 • Mežaparks Sports Village
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.97 (league 1.85) 0.34 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.2% 8.4% 2.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.1%
3 - 0
16.0%
4 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Augšdaugava
0 1 2 3 4 5
Riga Mariners 0 3.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.8% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 5.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.0% 5.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.8% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.0% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRiga MarinersAugšdaugava
Played55
Form80%7%
Attack100%21%
Defense57%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 33 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.214 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Riga Mariners Augšdaugava
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins60%82%71%27%0%14%
Draws20%9%14%9%30%19%
Loses20%9%14%64%70%67%

Form: Riga Mariners: DWWDWLLWWWWWWDWWWWWLW • Augšdaugava: LLDLLLLLWLDDWLLWDLLLL

League goals

Metric Riga Mariners Augšdaugava
HATHAT
GF total25335810515
GF avg2.53.02.80.90.50.7
GA total101525222244
GA avg1.01.41.22.02.22.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRiga MarinersAugšdaugava
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%76%38%90%
1.571%33%19%57%
2.557%10%10%33%
3.533%0%5%14%
4.519%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRiga MarinersAugšdaugava
HATHAT
Clean sheets415112
Failed to score1126713

Penalties

MetricRiga MarinersAugšdaugava
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricRiga MarinersAugšdaugava
Wins61
Draws12
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-54-1
Biggest losses2-33-00-55-0
Goals For6543
Goals Against3355

Model comparison

MetricRiga MarinersAugšdaugava
Form92%8%
Att83%17%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h100%0%
Goals83%17%
Total83.6%16.4%

Advice: Winner : Riga Mariners

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.12 @ Superbet
Draw11.00 @ Bet365
Away23.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.24 @ Superbet
Under 2.54.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ Marathonbet
No1.78 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Riga Mariners = 2.97 (league 1.85), Augšdaugava = 0.34 (league 1.47)

Augšdaugava
0 1 2 3 4 5
Riga Mariners 0 3.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.8% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 5.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.0% 5.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.8% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.0% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.2% · Draw 8.4% · Away win 2.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1