Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 10:00 •
Mežaparks Sports Village
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.82)
1.58 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.7% | 25.2% | 49.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 1
11.6%
1 - 2
9.5%
| Mārupe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Riga FC II | 0 | 7.4% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.6% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Riga FC II | Mārupe |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 40% |
| Attack | 18% | 29% |
| Defense | 41% | 35% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Riga FC II | Mārupe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 11% | 0% | 5% | 50% | 44% | 47% |
| Draws | 33% | 20% | 26% | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| Loses | 56% | 80% | 68% | 40% | 56% | 47% |
Form: Riga FC II: DLDLLLLLDDLWLDLLLLL • Mārupe: WWLWLLWLDWWLLWWLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Riga FC II | Mārupe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 5 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 16 | 20 | 36 | 11 | 15 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Riga FC II | Mārupe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 89% | 84% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 58% | 32% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 26% | 5% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Riga FC II | Mārupe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Riga FC II | Mārupe |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Riga FC II | Mārupe |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 2-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-1 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Riga FC II | Mārupe |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 52% | 48% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 43.6% | 56.6% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Mārupe
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Riga FC II = 1.03 (league 1.82), Mārupe = 1.58 (league 1.48)
| Mārupe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Riga FC II | 0 | 7.4% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.6% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.7% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 49.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
