Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 10:00 • Mežaparks Sports Village
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.82) 1.58 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.7% 25.2% 49.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 1
11.6%
1 - 2
9.5%
Mārupe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Riga FC II 0 7.4% 11.6% 9.2% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
1 7.6% 12.0% 9.5% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.9% 6.2% 4.9% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRiga FC IIMārupe
Played55
Form0%40%
Attack18%29%
Defense41%35%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Riga FC II Mārupe
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins11%0%5%50%44%47%
Draws33%20%26%10%0%5%
Loses56%80%68%40%56%47%

Form: Riga FC II: DLDLLLLLDDLWLDLLLLL • Mārupe: WWLWLLWLDWWLLWWLLLW

League goals

Metric Riga FC II Mārupe
HATHAT
GF total10515121224
GF avg1.10.50.81.21.31.3
GA total162036111526
GA avg1.82.01.91.11.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRiga FC IIMārupe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%89%84%74%
1.521%58%32%37%
2.50%26%5%21%
3.50%11%5%5%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRiga FC IIMārupe
HATHAT
Clean sheets112415
Failed to score268123

Penalties

MetricRiga FC IIMārupe
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRiga FC IIMārupe
Wins12
Draws21
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-01-4
Biggest losses1-35-10-34-1
Goals For2224
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricRiga FC IIMārupe
Form0%100%
Att38%63%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total43.6%56.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mārupe

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Riga FC II = 1.03 (league 1.82), Mārupe = 1.58 (league 1.48)

Mārupe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Riga FC II 0 7.4% 11.6% 9.2% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
1 7.6% 12.0% 9.5% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.9% 6.2% 4.9% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.7% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 49.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1