1. Liga — Latvia
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:30 • Salaspils sporta nama stadions
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.58 (league 1.82) 1.08 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.9% 16.6% 13.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.3%
2 - 0
8.6%
3 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Riga Mariners
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ogre United 0 2.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.7% 7.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.3% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.4% 8.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.7% 5.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.4% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOgre UnitedRiga Mariners
Played55
Form100%100%
Attack100%100%
Defense100%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)20 | 417 | 3.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 06 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ogre United Riga Mariners
HATHAT
Played8111910919
Wins100%55%74%60%89%74%
Draws0%18%11%20%11%16%
Loses0%27%16%20%0%11%

Form: Ogre United: WWDWWWWLLDWLWWWWWWW • Riga Mariners: DWWDWLLWWWWWWDWWWWW

League goals

Metric Ogre United Riga Mariners
HATHAT
GF total292756252954
GF avg3.62.52.92.53.22.8
GA total41317101222
GA avg0.51.20.91.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOgre UnitedRiga Mariners
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%53%95%79%
1.568%26%74%32%
2.563%11%58%5%
3.526%0%32%0%
4.511%0%21%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOgre UnitedRiga Mariners
HATHAT
Clean sheets459404
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricOgre UnitedRiga Mariners
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricOgre UnitedRiga Mariners
Wins46
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-10-76-01-5
Biggest losses—3-12-3—
Goals For8765
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricOgre UnitedRiga Mariners
Form50%50%
Att54%46%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h100%0%
Goals60%40%
Total58.5%41.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ogre United or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ 1xBet
Draw3.52 @ Marathonbet
Away2.70 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.59 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.20 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Marathonbet
No2.38 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ogre United = 2.58 (league 1.82), Riga Mariners = 1.08 (league 1.48)

Riga Mariners
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ogre United 0 2.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.7% 7.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.3% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.4% 8.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.7% 5.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.4% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.9% · Draw 16.6% · Away win 13.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1