EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:00 • St James Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 2.11) 1.27 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.4% 28.6% 69.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
34.0%
0 - 0
26.8%
0 - 2
21.5%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Exeter City 0 26.8% 34.0% 21.5% 9.1% 2.9% 0.7%
1 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExeter CityArsenal U21
Played11
Form0%100%
Attack0%7%
Defense97%97%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 02 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 11 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Exeter City Arsenal U21
HATHAT
Played101011
Wins0%—0%—100%100%
Draws0%—0%—0%0%
Loses100%—100%—0%0%

Form: Exeter City: L • Arsenal U21: W

League goals

Metric Exeter City Arsenal U21
HATHAT
GF total000022
GF avg0.00.00.00.02.02.0
GA total101011
GA avg1.00.01.00.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExeter CityArsenal U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.50%100%100%100%
1.50%0%100%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExeter CityArsenal U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricExeter CityArsenal U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricExeter CityArsenal U21
Wins01
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins———1-2
Biggest losses0-1———
Goals For0002
Goals Against1001

Model comparison

MetricExeter CityArsenal U21
Form0%100%
Att0%100%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Arsenal U21 and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ 1xBet
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away3.90 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.63 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Exeter City = 0.05 (league 2.11), Arsenal U21 = 1.27 (league 1.58)

Arsenal U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Exeter City 0 26.8% 34.0% 21.5% 9.1% 2.9% 0.7%
1 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.4% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 69.8%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1