Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 11:00 •
Jaunmārupes stadions
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.82)
1.72 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.9% | 23.9% | 53.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
0 - 1
11.3%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Ogre United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mārupe | 0 | 6.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mārupe | Ogre United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 55% | 55% |
| Defense | 55% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mārupe | Ogre United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 50% | 31% | 40% | 85% | 50% | 68% |
| Draws | 8% | 8% | 8% | 15% | 17% | 16% |
| Loses | 42% | 62% | 52% | 0% | 33% | 16% |
Form: Mārupe: WWLWLLWLDWWLLWWLLLWLLLDWL • Ogre United: WWDWWWWLLDWLWWWWWWWWWDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Mārupe | Ogre United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 13 | 30 | 37 | 28 | 65 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2.6 |
| GA total | 13 | 19 | 32 | 5 | 15 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mārupe | Ogre United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 76% | 96% | 48% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 32% | 60% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 16% | 56% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 4% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mārupe | Ogre United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mārupe | Ogre United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mārupe | Ogre United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 9 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-4 | 8-1 | 0-7 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-1 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mārupe | Ogre United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 52% | 48% |
| Total | 43.2% | 57.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ogre United
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mārupe = 1.00 (league 1.82), Ogre United = 1.72 (league 1.47)
| Ogre United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mārupe | 0 | 6.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.9% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 53.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1