EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 19:00 • Cardiff City Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 2.09) 1.25 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.3% 29.6% 48.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.4%
0 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Wimbledon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff 0 13.9% 17.4% 10.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.4%
1 10.0% 12.5% 7.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 3.6% 4.5% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCardiffAFC Wimbledon
Played33
Form67%67%
Attack25%38%
Defense88%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.36 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.77 | 2.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cardiff AFC Wimbledon
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins50%100%67%50%100%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%0%33%50%0%33%

Form: Cardiff: WLW • AFC Wimbledon: LWW

League goals

Metric Cardiff AFC Wimbledon
HATHAT
GF total314426
GF avg1.51.01.32.02.02.0
GA total202617
GA avg1.00.00.73.01.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCardiffAFC Wimbledon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%100%
1.533%0%67%33%
2.533%0%33%33%
3.50%0%0%33%
4.50%0%0%33%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCardiffAFC Wimbledon
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricCardiffAFC Wimbledon
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCardiffAFC Wimbledon
Wins10
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-13-11-2
Biggest losses0-1—1-5—
Goals For3132
Goals Against1051

Model comparison

MetricCardiffAFC Wimbledon
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Double chance : Cardiff or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.64 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.60 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Cardiff = 0.72 (league 2.09), AFC Wimbledon = 1.25 (league 1.59)

AFC Wimbledon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff 0 13.9% 17.4% 10.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.4%
1 10.0% 12.5% 7.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 3.6% 4.5% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.3% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 48.9%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1