Mon, Jan 19 2026 • 17:30 •
Loftus Versfeld Stadium
Expected Goals
3.98 (league 1.16)
0.40 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
best score tips
3 - 0
13.2%
4 - 0
13.1%
5 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Orbit College | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 0 | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.0% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.2% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.1% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.4% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Orbit College |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 43% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Orbit College | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 83% | 29% | 54% | 38% | 17% | 29% |
| Draws | 17% | 57% | 38% | 13% | 0% | 7% |
| Loses | 0% | 14% | 8% | 50% | 83% | 64% |
Form: Mamelodi Sundowns: DWWDWWDWLWDWD • Orbit College: LWLLLLDWLWWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Orbit College | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 6 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mamelodi Sundowns | Orbit College | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 54% | 64% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 0% | 14% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 0% | 7% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Orbit College | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Orbit College |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Orbit College |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Orbit College |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 91% | 9% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 67.8% | 32.3% |
Advice: Winner : Mamelodi Sundowns
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.18 @ William Hill
Draw6.91 @ Pinnacle
Away19.50 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.90 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes3.25 @ 188Bet
No1.40 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mamelodi Sundowns = 3.98 (league 1.16), Orbit College = 0.40 (league 0.88)
| Orbit College | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 0 | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.0% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.2% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.1% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.4% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.5% · Draw 4.2% · Away win 1.2%
vtt 4 , vtd1
