Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 19:45 •
Haig Avenue
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.56)
1.75 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.7% | 22.3% | 38.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.3%
1 - 2
8.1%
2 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Buxton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Southport | 0 | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Southport | Buxton |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 45% | 45% |
| Defense | 59% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Southport | Buxton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| Wins | 25% | 25% | 25% | 44% | 36% | 40% |
| Draws | 50% | 13% | 31% | 13% | 21% | 17% |
| Loses | 25% | 63% | 44% | 44% | 43% | 43% |
Form: Southport: LWLLLLLDLWDLLDWWDDWDDDLLDWLWLDLW • Buxton: WLLWLDLWDWWWWLLLWLLDLWWDLWWLDL
League goals
| Metric | Southport | Buxton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 17 | 44 | 29 | 23 | 52 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 23 | 31 | 54 | 21 | 22 | 43 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Southport | Buxton | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 88% | 87% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 56% | 50% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 16% | 17% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 9% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Southport | Buxton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Southport | Buxton |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Southport | Buxton |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 2-3 | 6-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Southport | Buxton |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 51.0% | 49.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Southport or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.64 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.75 @ Betano
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.36 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Southport
vs
Buxton
Expected goals
1.74
Southport xG
League Avg: 1.56
Total
3.49
1.75
Buxton xG
League Avg: 1.28
1x2 probabilities
Home
37.7%
Draw
22.3%
Away
38.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
9.3%
Tip
1 - 2
8.1%
Tip
2 - 1
8.1%
More chances
1.5+
89%
Chance
2.5+
63%
Chance
3.5+
45%
Chance
BTTS
78%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Southport = 1.74 (league 1.56), Buxton = 1.75 (league 1.28)
| Buxton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Southport | 0 | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.7% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 38.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1