Mon, Sep 1 2025 • 16:30 • LNK Sporta Parks
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.82) 1.04 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.6% 26.2% 26.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
12.0%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Mārupe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rīgas FS II 0 8.2% 8.5% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.0% 12.4% 6.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.5% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRīgas FS IIMārupe
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack28%20%
Defense92%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rīgas FS II Mārupe
HATHAT
Played107179817
Wins60%29%47%44%50%47%
Draws10%57%29%11%0%6%
Loses30%14%24%44%50%47%

Form: Rīgas FS II: LLDWWWDDWWDLWDLWW • Mārupe: WWLWLLWLDWWLLWWLL

League goals

Metric Rīgas FS II Mārupe
HATHAT
GF total191130101121
GF avg1.91.61.81.11.41.2
GA total11819101121
GA avg1.11.11.11.11.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRīgas FS IIMārupe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%65%82%71%
1.553%35%29%35%
2.529%12%6%18%
3.512%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRīgas FS IIMārupe
HATHAT
Clean sheets336415
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricRīgas FS IIMārupe
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRīgas FS IIMārupe
Wins32
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-32-01-4
Biggest losses1-32-10-33-1
Goals For4324
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricRīgas FS IIMārupe
Form63%38%
Att58%42%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h100%0%
Goals70%30%
Total66.4%33.8%

Advice: Double chance : Rīgas FS II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ 10Bet
Draw5.00 @ Bet365
Away6.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ SBO
Under 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.12 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rīgas FS II = 1.47 (league 1.82), Mārupe = 1.04 (league 1.48)

Mārupe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rīgas FS II 0 8.2% 8.5% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.0% 12.4% 6.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.5% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.6% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 26.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1