Smiltene vs JFK Ventspils

1. Liga — Latvia

Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Tepera stadions

Match Finished

Smiltene

2 - 2

JFK Ventspils

Expected Goals

1.43 (league 1.82) 2.16 (league 1.48)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
24.9%	20.6%	51.9%

best score tips

1 - 2

9.2%

1 - 1

8.5%

1 - 3

6.6%

Score & goals probability table

		JFK Ventspils
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Smiltene	0	2.8%	6.0%	6.4%	4.6%	2.5%	1.1%
	1	3.9%	8.5%	9.2%	6.6%	3.6%	1.5%
	2	2.8%	6.1%	6.6%	4.7%	2.6%	1.1%
	3	1.3%	2.9%	3.1%	2.3%	1.2%	0.5%
	4	0.5%	1.0%	1.1%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%
	5	0.1%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Smiltene	JFK Ventspils
Played	5	5
Form	40%	47%
Attack	59%	47%
Defense	53%	59%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2	8 \| 1.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	7 \| 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

68%

FT probability

3.5+

48%

FT probability

BTTS

80%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Smiltene			JFK Ventspils
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	8	11	19	10	9	19
Wins	50%	27%	37%	40%	67%	53%
Draws	0%	9%	5%	50%	22%	37%
Loses	50%	64%	58%	10%	11%	11%

Form: Smiltene: LWDLLWLWWWLLLLWLWLL • JFK Ventspils: WWDWWWWDDDDWDWDLWWL

League goals

Metric	Smiltene			JFK Ventspils
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	21	16	37	19	14	33
GF avg	2.6	1.5	1.9	1.9	1.6	1.7
GA total	16	19	35	9	9	18
GA avg	2.0	1.7	1.8	0.9	1.0	0.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Smiltene		JFK Ventspils
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	89%	84%	89%	68%
1.5	53%	63%	53%	21%
2.5	26%	26%	16%	5%
3.5	16%	11%	11%	0%
4.5	11%	0%	5%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Smiltene			JFK Ventspils
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	2	3	3	3	6
Failed to score	1	1	2	1	1	2

Penalties

Metric	Smiltene	JFK Ventspils
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Smiltene	JFK Ventspils
Wins	3	4
Draws	1	4
Losses	4	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	5-0	0-3	5-0	1-3
Biggest losses	0-4	3-1	1-2	3-0
Goals For	5	3	5	3
Goals Against	4	3	2	3

Model comparison

Metric	Smiltene	JFK Ventspils
Form	46%	54%
Att	56%	44%
Def	47%	53%
Poisson Distribution	39%	61%
H2h	29%	71%
Goals	30%	70%
Total	41.2%	58.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or JFK Ventspils

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.06 @ 1xBet

Draw3.88 @ Marathonbet

Away1.68 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.46 @ Marathonbet

Under 2.52.38 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.49 @ Marathonbet

No2.42 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Marathonbet Updated: 2025-09-20T13:00:16+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	4.00
Draw	3.88
Away	1.66

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.94
Draw	2.81
Away	1.97

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1	7.50
Away -1	1.03
Home -0.25	3.42
Away -0.25	1.24
Home +0	3.10
Away +0	1.30
Home +0.25	2.41
Away +0.25	1.49
Home +0.75	1.84
Away +0.75	1.86
Home +1	1.61
Away +1	2.18
Home +2	1.15
Away +2	4.40
Home -1.5	8.40
Away -1.5	1.01
Home +1.25	1.48
Away +1.25	2.47
Home +1.5	1.38
Away +1.5	2.76
Home +1.75	1.27
Away +1.75	3.28
Home +2.5	1.10
Away +2.5	5.10

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.0	1.17
Under 2.0	3.98
Over 2.25	1.32
Under 2.25	2.88
Over 2.5	1.46
Under 2.5	2.38
Over 2.75	1.57
Under 2.75	2.14
Over 3.5	2.24
Under 3.5	1.57
Over 3.0	1.74
Under 3.0	1.89
Over 4.5	3.74
Under 4.5	1.19
Over 3.25	1.96
Under 3.25	1.68
Over 3.75	2.52
Under 3.75	1.41
Over 4.0	3.08
Under 4.0	1.28
Over 4.25	3.42
Under 4.25	1.23
Over 5.0	6.15
Under 5.0	1.06

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.20
Under 1.5	1.60
Over 2.0	3.76
Under 2.0	1.21
Over 1.0	1.48
Under 1.0	2.40

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.71
Under 1.5	2.02
Over 2.0	2.38
Under 2.0	1.49
Over 1.0	1.22
Under 1.0	3.68

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.49
No	2.38

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home +1	1.98
Draw +1	3.65
Away +1	2.76
Home +2	1.38
Draw +2	5.05
Away +2	5.10

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.98
Home/Away	1.18
Draw/Away	1.16

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	4.25
Draw	2.36
Away	2.18

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	2.48
Draw	18.25
Away	1.52

Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last

Selection	Odds
Home	2.47
Draw	18.25
Away	1.53

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.56
Under 1.5	1.41
Over 1	1.70
Under 1	1.98
Over 2	5.10
Under 2	1.10

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.54
Under 1.5	2.22
Over 2.5	2.71
Under 2.5	1.37
Over 2	2.03
Under 2	1.67

1xBet Updated: 2025-09-20T13:00:16+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	4.06
Draw	3.88
Away	1.68

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	4.06
Draw	2.81
Away	1.99

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1	7.50
Away -1	1.03
Home -0.25	3.42
Away -0.25	1.24
Home +0	3.10
Away +0	1.30
Home +0.25	2.41
Away +0.25	1.49
Home +0.75	1.84
Away +0.75	1.86
Home +1	1.61
Away +1	2.18
Home +2	1.15
Away +2	4.40
Home -1.5	8.40
Away -1.5	1.01
Home +1.25	1.48
Away +1.25	2.47
Home +1.5	1.38
Away +1.5	2.76
Home +1.75	1.27
Away +1.75	3.28
Home +2.5	1.10
Away +2.5	5.10

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.12
Under 1.5	5.20
Over 2.0	1.17
Under 2.0	3.98
Over 2.25	1.32
Under 2.25	2.88
Over 2.5	1.46
Under 2.5	2.38
Over 2.75	1.57
Under 2.75	2.14
Over 3.5	2.24
Under 3.5	1.57
Under 0.5	17.00
Over 3.0	1.74
Under 3.0	1.89
Over 4.5	3.74
Under 4.5	1.19
Over 3.25	1.96
Under 3.25	1.68
Over 3.75	2.52
Under 3.75	1.41
Over 4.0	3.08
Under 4.0	1.28
Over 4.25	3.42
Under 4.25	1.23
Over 5.0	6.15
Under 5.0	1.06
Over 5.5	6.50
Under 5.5	1.08

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.20
Under 1.5	1.60
Over 1.75	2.69
Under 1.75	1.40
Over 2.0	3.76
Under 2.0	1.21
Over 2.5	4.50
Under 2.5	1.17
Over 3.5	9.80
Under 3.5	1.02
Over 0.5	1.24
Under 0.5	3.60
Over 1.0	1.48
Under 1.0	2.40
Over 1.25	1.85
Under 1.25	1.85

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.71
Under 1.5	2.02
Over 1.75	1.93
Under 1.75	1.76
Over 2.0	2.38
Under 2.0	1.49
Over 2.5	3.10
Under 2.5	1.33
Over 0.5	1.13
Under 0.5	5.10
Over 1.0	1.22
Under 1.0	3.68
Over 1.25	1.46
Under 1.25	2.49
Over 3.0	5.85
Under 3.0	1.10

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	16.00
Home/Away	17.00
Draw/Away	5.20
Draw/Draw	6.20
Home/Home	6.00
Draw/Home	9.00
Away/Home	28.00
Away/Draw	16.00
Away/Away	2.75

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.49
No	2.42

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	13.00
2:0	21.00
2:1	11.00
3:0	60.00
3:1	26.00
3:2	23.00
4:0	100.00
4:1	75.00
0:0	17.00
1:1	7.00
2:2	11.00
0:1	8.50
0:2	8.50
0:3	12.00
1:2	7.00
1:3	11.00
2:3	15.00
3:3	34.00
0:4	21.00
1:4	19.00
2:4	31.00
4:2	75.00
0:5	55.00
0:6	80.00
1:5	50.00
1:6	80.00
2:5	75.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	65.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	80.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.88
1st Half	2.97
2nd Half	1.93

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	6.00
2:0	22.00
2:1	24.00
3:0	100.00
3:1	100.00
3:2	100.00
4:0	100.00
4:1	100.00
0:0	3.60
1:1	6.60
2:2	50.00
0:1	3.70
0:2	8.00
0:3	31.00
1:2	14.00
1:3	65.00
2:3	100.00
3:3	100.00
0:4	100.00
1:4	100.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	100.00
0:5	100.00
1:5	100.00
2:5	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
4:5	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
4:4	100.00
5:5	100.00

Bet ID 62 — Correct Score - Second Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	6.60
2:0	18.00
2:1	18.00
3:0	100.00
3:1	100.00
3:2	100.00
4:0	100.00
4:1	100.00
0:0	5.10
1:1	6.20
2:2	35.00
0:1	4.30
0:2	7.40
0:3	22.00
1:2	11.00
1:3	37.00
2:3	100.00
3:3	100.00
0:4	85.00
1:4	100.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	100.00
0:5	100.00
1:5	100.00
2:5	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
4:5	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
4:4	100.00
5:5	100.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.98
Home/Away	1.18
Draw/Away	1.16

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	4.40
Draw	2.36
Away	2.20

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.56
Under 1.5	1.41
Over 2.5	5.80
Under 2.5	1.10
Over 1	1.70
Under 1	1.98
Over 2	5.10
Under 2	1.10
Over 0.5	1.31
Under 0.5	3.04

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.54
Under 1.5	2.22
Over 2.5	2.71
Under 2.5	1.37
Over 2	2.03
Under 2	1.67
Over 0.5	1.07
Under 0.5	6.15

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Smiltene vs JFK Ventspils

Expected goals (λ): Smiltene = 1.43 (league 1.82), JFK Ventspils = 2.16 (league 1.48)

		JFK Ventspils
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Smiltene	0	2.8%	6.0%	6.4%	4.6%	2.5%	1.1%
	1	3.9%	8.5%	9.2%	6.6%	3.6%	1.5%
	2	2.8%	6.1%	6.6%	4.7%	2.6%	1.1%
	3	1.3%	2.9%	3.1%	2.3%	1.2%	0.5%
	4	0.5%	1.0%	1.1%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%
	5	0.1%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 51.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Smiltene	JFK Ventspils
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0