Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 16:00 •
LNK Sporta Parks
Expected Goals
5.32 (league 1.82)
0.82 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
best score tips
5 - 0
7.7%
4 - 0
7.2%
5 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Progress / AFA Olaine | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rīgas FS II | 0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rīgas FS II | Progress / AFA Olaine |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 59% | 41% |
| Defense | 71% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 23 | 4.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
83%
FT probability
3.5+
59%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rīgas FS II | Progress / AFA Olaine | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 8 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 64% | 25% | 47% | 20% | 11% | 16% |
| Draws | 9% | 50% | 26% | 30% | 0% | 16% |
| Loses | 27% | 25% | 26% | 50% | 89% | 68% |
Form: Rīgas FS II: LLDWWWDDWWDLWDLWWWL • Progress / AFA Olaine: LLLLLDLDLWLLWLLLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Rīgas FS II | Progress / AFA Olaine | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 12 | 35 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 12 | 10 | 22 | 24 | 41 | 65 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 4.6 | 3.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rīgas FS II | Progress / AFA Olaine | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 68% | 68% | 95% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 37% | 37% | 74% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 11% | 26% | 63% |
| 3.5 | 16% | 0% | 0% | 47% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 26% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rīgas FS II | Progress / AFA Olaine | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rīgas FS II | Progress / AFA Olaine |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rīgas FS II | Progress / AFA Olaine |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-1 | 1-5 | 8-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rīgas FS II | Progress / AFA Olaine |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 82% | 18% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 73.8% | 26.2% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Rīgas FS II and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.12 @ Bet365
Draw8.00 @ Bet365
Away13.00 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.28 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Rīgas FS II = 5.32 (league 1.82), Progress / AFA Olaine = 0.82 (league 1.48)
| Progress / AFA Olaine | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rīgas FS II | 0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.9% · Draw 2.8% · Away win 1.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1