Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 12:00 •
Ilūkstes pašvaldības stadions
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.85)
0.73 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.0% | 28.8% | 20.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.0%
0 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Tukums II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Augšdaugava | 0 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.0% | 12.5% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Augšdaugava | Tukums II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 20% |
| Attack | 42% | 83% |
| Defense | 17% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Augšdaugava | Tukums II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 16% | 30% | 11% | 21% |
| Draws | 11% | 30% | 21% | 0% | 11% | 5% |
| Loses | 56% | 70% | 63% | 70% | 78% | 74% |
Form: Augšdaugava: LLDLLLLLWLDDWLLWDLL • Tukums II: LWWLLDWLLLLLLLLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Augšdaugava | Tukums II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 5 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 16 | 22 | 38 | 23 | 20 | 43 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Augšdaugava | Tukums II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 42% | 89% | 74% | 95% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 58% | 16% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 32% | 11% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 11% | 5% | 26% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 11% | 5% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Augšdaugava | Tukums II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Augšdaugava | Tukums II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 50.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 50.00% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Augšdaugava | Tukums II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 8 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | — | 8-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 5-0 | 0-7 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Augšdaugava | Tukums II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 48.2% | 51.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Tukums II
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Augšdaugava = 1.31 (league 1.85), Tukums II = 0.73 (league 1.47)
| Tukums II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Augšdaugava | 0 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.0% | 12.5% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.0% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 20.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1