Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 16:00 • Tukuma mākslīgā laukumā stadions
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.82) 4.52 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.8% 8.2% 54.5%
best score tips
1 - 4
6.2%
1 - 5
5.6%
1 - 3
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
Riga Mariners
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tukums II 0 0.2% 1.0% 2.3% 3.5% 3.9% 3.6%
1 0.4% 1.6% 3.6% 5.5% 6.2% 5.6%
2 0.3% 1.3% 2.8% 4.3% 4.9% 4.4%
3 0.1% 0.7% 1.5% 2.2% 2.5% 2.3%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTukums IIRiga Mariners
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.214 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

81%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tukums II Riga Mariners
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins30%20%25%60%80%70%
Draws0%10%5%20%10%15%
Loses70%70%70%20%10%15%

Form: Tukums II: LWWLLDWLLLLLLLLWLLLW • Riga Mariners: DWWDWLLWWWWWWDWWWWWL

League goals

Metric Tukums II Riga Mariners
HATHAT
GF total19625252954
GF avg1.90.61.32.52.92.7
GA total232043101525
GA avg2.32.02.21.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTukums IIRiga Mariners
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%90%90%80%
1.515%55%70%35%
2.510%30%55%10%
3.55%25%30%0%
4.55%5%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTukums IIRiga Mariners
HATHAT
Clean sheets022404
Failed to score145112

Penalties

MetricTukums IIRiga Mariners
Scored (total | %)1 | 33.33%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)2 | 66.67%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricTukums IIRiga Mariners
Wins26
Draws11
Losses82

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-10-16-01-5
Biggest losses0-74-02-33-0
Goals For8165
Goals Against7433

Model comparison

MetricTukums IIRiga Mariners
Form33%67%
Att44%56%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total33.8%66.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Riga Mariners and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.00 @ William Hill
Draw5.60 @ Marathonbet
Away1.33 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.25 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.05 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tukums II = 1.57 (league 1.82), Riga Mariners = 4.52 (league 1.47)

Riga Mariners
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tukums II 0 0.2% 1.0% 2.3% 3.5% 3.9% 3.6%
1 0.4% 1.6% 3.6% 5.5% 6.2% 5.6%
2 0.3% 1.3% 2.8% 4.3% 4.9% 4.4%
3 0.1% 0.7% 1.5% 2.2% 2.5% 2.3%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.8% · Draw 8.2% · Away win 54.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1