1. Liga — Latvia
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:30 • Salaspils sporta nama stadions
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.37 (league 1.82) 0.40 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.7% 6.7% 2.1%
best score tips
3 - 0
14.6%
2 - 0
13.0%
4 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Smiltene
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ogre United 0 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.7% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.0% 5.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.6% 5.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.3% 5.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.3% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOgre UnitedSmiltene
Played55
Form100%27%
Attack100%67%
Defense100%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)19 | 3.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 010 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ogre United Smiltene
HATHAT
Played9112091120
Wins100%55%75%44%27%35%
Draws0%18%10%11%9%10%
Loses0%27%15%44%64%55%

Form: Ogre United: WWDWWWWLLDWLWWWWWWWW • Smiltene: LWDLLWLWWWLLLLWLWLLD

League goals

Metric Ogre United Smiltene
HATHAT
GF total322759231639
GF avg3.62.53.02.61.52.0
GA total41317181937
GA avg0.41.20.92.01.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOgre UnitedSmiltene
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%90%85%
1.570%25%55%65%
2.565%10%25%25%
3.525%0%15%10%
4.510%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOgre UnitedSmiltene
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510123
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricOgre UnitedSmiltene
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricOgre UnitedSmiltene
Wins43
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-10-75-00-3
Biggest losses—3-10-43-1
Goals For8753
Goals Against1343

Model comparison

MetricOgre UnitedSmiltene
Form79%21%
Att66%34%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total66.8%33.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : Ogre United and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.23 @ Betano
Draw6.00 @ Betfair
Away11.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 1xBet
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ogre United = 3.37 (league 1.82), Smiltene = 0.40 (league 1.48)

Smiltene
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ogre United 0 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.7% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.0% 5.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.6% 5.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.3% 5.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.3% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.7% · Draw 6.7% · Away win 2.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1