Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 13:00 • Olimpiskā centra Ventspils Stadionā
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.82) 0.91 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.0% 27.7% 25.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Rīgas FS II
0 1 2 3 4 5
JFK Ventspils 0 10.3% 9.4% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.0% 12.8% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.5% 8.7% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 4.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJFK VentspilsRīgas FS II
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack64%71%
Defense43%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric JFK Ventspils Rīgas FS II
HATHAT
Played10102012820
Wins40%60%50%58%25%45%
Draws50%30%40%8%50%25%
Loses10%10%10%33%25%30%

Form: JFK Ventspils: WWDWWWWDDDDWDWDLWWLD • Rīgas FS II: LLDWWWDDWWDLWDLWWWLL

League goals

Metric JFK Ventspils Rīgas FS II
HATHAT
GF total191635241236
GF avg1.91.61.82.01.51.8
GA total91120141024
GA avg0.91.11.01.21.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJFK VentspilsRīgas FS II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%70%85%70%
1.555%25%50%40%
2.515%5%30%10%
3.510%0%15%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJFK VentspilsRīgas FS II
HATHAT
Clean sheets336336
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricJFK VentspilsRīgas FS II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricJFK VentspilsRīgas FS II
Wins43
Draws42
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-34-00-3
Biggest losses1-23-01-32-1
Goals For5343
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricJFK VentspilsRīgas FS II
Form44%56%
Att47%53%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rīgas FS II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ 1xBet
Draw3.52 @ Marathonbet
Away3.40 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Superbet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): JFK Ventspils = 1.36 (league 1.82), Rīgas FS II = 0.91 (league 1.48)

Rīgas FS II
0 1 2 3 4 5
JFK Ventspils 0 10.3% 9.4% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.0% 12.8% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.5% 8.7% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 4.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.0% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 25.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1