1. Liga — Latvia
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 11:00 • Olaines stadions
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.85) 3.26 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.5% 11.3% 69.9%
best score tips
0 - 3
8.4%
1 - 3
8.2%
0 - 2
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
JDFS Alberts
0 1 2 3 4 5
Progress / AFA Olaine 0 1.5% 4.7% 7.7% 8.4% 6.8% 4.5%
1 1.4% 4.6% 7.5% 8.2% 6.6% 4.3%
2 0.7% 2.2% 3.6% 4.0% 3.2% 2.1%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.7%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricProgress / AFA OlaineJDFS Alberts
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack60%47%
Defense0%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)20 | 45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Progress / AFA Olaine JDFS Alberts
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins20%20%20%70%50%60%
Draws30%0%15%30%30%30%
Loses50%80%65%0%20%10%

Form: Progress / AFA Olaine: LLLLLDLDLWLLWLLLDLWW • JDFS Alberts: WWWWDWWWDDWDLWWDWDLW

League goals

Metric Progress / AFA Olaine JDFS Alberts
HATHAT
GF total151227232043
GF avg1.51.21.42.32.02.2
GA total24426671219
GA avg2.44.23.30.71.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineProgress / AFA OlaineJDFS Alberts
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%95%90%60%
1.540%70%60%25%
2.525%60%25%5%
3.50%45%20%5%
4.50%25%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricProgress / AFA OlaineJDFS Alberts
HATHAT
Clean sheets101538
Failed to score336112

Penalties

MetricProgress / AFA OlaineJDFS Alberts
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricProgress / AFA OlaineJDFS Alberts
Wins14
Draws12
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-38-10-4
Biggest losses1-58-1—4-2
Goals For3384
Goals Against5824

Model comparison

MetricProgress / AFA OlaineJDFS Alberts
Form47%53%
Att56%44%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h40%60%
Goals37%63%
Total37.3%62.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or JDFS Alberts and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home10.00 @ Betfair
Draw6.40 @ Superbet
Away1.27 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Superbet
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Progress / AFA Olaine = 0.97 (league 1.85), JDFS Alberts = 3.26 (league 1.47)

JDFS Alberts
0 1 2 3 4 5
Progress / AFA Olaine 0 1.5% 4.7% 7.7% 8.4% 6.8% 4.5%
1 1.4% 4.6% 7.5% 8.2% 6.6% 4.3%
2 0.7% 2.2% 3.6% 4.0% 3.2% 2.1%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.7%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.5% · Draw 11.3% · Away win 69.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1