Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 16:00 • Jaunmārupes stadions
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.85) 1.12 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.0% 29.0% 35.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Skanste
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mārupe 0 10.8% 12.1% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.9% 13.4% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.6% 7.4% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMārupeSkanste
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack22%39%
Defense33%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mārupe Skanste
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins50%40%45%40%50%45%
Draws10%0%5%30%20%25%
Loses40%60%50%30%30%30%

Form: Mārupe: WWLWLLWLDWWLLWWLLLWL • Skanste: WLDLDWDWLLDWWWLWLDWW

League goals

Metric Mārupe Skanste
HATHAT
GF total121224131528
GF avg1.21.21.21.31.51.4
GA total111627131730
GA avg1.11.61.41.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMārupeSkanste
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%75%85%80%
1.530%35%55%35%
2.55%20%0%25%
3.55%5%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMārupeSkanste
HATHAT
Clean sheets415314
Failed to score134123

Penalties

MetricMārupeSkanste
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 25.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 75.00%
Total04

Streaks

MetricMārupeSkanste
Wins23
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-42-01-2
Biggest losses0-34-10-34-0
Goals For2422
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricMārupeSkanste
Form23%77%
Att36%64%
Def37%63%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Skanste

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Betano
Draw3.32 @ Marathonbet
Away3.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Superbet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mārupe = 1.10 (league 1.85), Skanste = 1.12 (league 1.47)

Skanste
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mārupe 0 10.8% 12.1% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.9% 13.4% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.6% 7.4% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.0% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 35.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1