1. Liga — Latvia
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 15:00 • Mežaparks Sports Village
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.54 (league 1.82) 1.30 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.0% 17.7% 17.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
3 - 1
7.6%
1 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Progress / AFA Olaine
0 1 2 3 4 5
Riga FC II 0 2.1% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.5% 7.1% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
2 7.0% 9.0% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.9% 7.6% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.8% 4.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.9% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRiga FC IIProgress / AFA Olaine
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack44%56%
Defense56%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.418 | 3.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Riga FC II Progress / AFA Olaine
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins20%9%14%18%20%19%
Draws30%18%24%27%0%14%
Loses50%73%62%55%80%67%

Form: Riga FC II: DLDLLLLLDDLWLDLLLLLWW • Progress / AFA Olaine: LLLLLDLDLWLLWLLLDLWWL

League goals

Metric Riga FC II Progress / AFA Olaine
HATHAT
GF total11819161228
GF avg1.10.70.91.51.21.3
GA total162036304272
GA avg1.61.81.72.74.23.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRiga FC IIProgress / AFA Olaine
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%81%71%95%
1.524%52%38%71%
2.55%24%24%62%
3.50%10%0%48%
4.50%5%0%29%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRiga FC IIProgress / AFA Olaine
HATHAT
Clean sheets224101
Failed to score268336

Penalties

MetricRiga FC IIProgress / AFA Olaine
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricRiga FC IIProgress / AFA Olaine
Wins12
Draws21
Losses55

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-33-02-3
Biggest losses1-35-11-68-1
Goals For2333
Goals Against3568

Model comparison

MetricRiga FC IIProgress / AFA Olaine
Form46%54%
Att44%56%
Def72%28%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h93%7%
Goals84%16%
Total67.7%32.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Riga FC II or draw and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ Superbet
Draw4.20 @ Marathonbet
Away4.75 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.43 @ Marathonbet
No2.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Riga FC II = 2.54 (league 1.82), Progress / AFA Olaine = 1.30 (league 1.48)

Progress / AFA Olaine
0 1 2 3 4 5
Riga FC II 0 2.1% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.5% 7.1% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
2 7.0% 9.0% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.9% 7.6% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.8% 4.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.9% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.0% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 17.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1