1. Liga — Latvia
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 12:00 • Upesciems pilsētas stadions
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.82) 0.76 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.8% 27.6% 20.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
JFK Ventspils
0 1 2 3 4 5
JDFS Alberts 0 11.7% 8.8% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.2% 12.3% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.3% 8.6% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.3% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJDFS AlbertsJFK Ventspils
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack72%50%
Defense67%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric JDFS Alberts JFK Ventspils
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins70%55%62%36%60%48%
Draws30%27%29%45%30%38%
Loses0%18%10%18%10%14%

Form: JDFS Alberts: WWWWDWWWDDWDLWWDWDLWW • JFK Ventspils: WWDWWWWDDDDWDWDLWWLDL

League goals

Metric JDFS Alberts JFK Ventspils
HATHAT
GF total232649191635
GF avg2.32.42.31.71.61.7
GA total71320111122
GA avg0.71.21.01.01.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJDFS AlbertsJFK Ventspils
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%62%86%71%
1.562%24%52%29%
2.529%5%14%5%
3.524%5%10%0%
4.510%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJDFS AlbertsJFK Ventspils
HATHAT
Clean sheets538336
Failed to score112213

Penalties

MetricJDFS AlbertsJFK Ventspils
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricJDFS AlbertsJFK Ventspils
Wins44
Draws24
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-11-65-01-3
Biggest losses—4-20-23-0
Goals For8653
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricJDFS AlbertsJFK Ventspils
Form59%41%
Att59%41%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h93%7%
Goals71%29%
Total66.8%33.2%

Advice: Double chance : JDFS Alberts or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ Betano
Draw4.35 @ Superbet
Away5.68 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Superbet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): JDFS Alberts = 1.39 (league 1.82), JFK Ventspils = 0.76 (league 1.48)

JFK Ventspils
0 1 2 3 4 5
JDFS Alberts 0 11.7% 8.8% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.2% 12.3% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.3% 8.6% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.3% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.8% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 20.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1