Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 • OC Rēzekne Mākslīgais Laukums
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.85) 1.22 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.1% 29.4% 44.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.2%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Mārupe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rēzekne FA 0 12.4% 15.2% 9.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.7% 13.1% 8.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.6% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRēzekne FAMārupe
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack58%16%
Defense58%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rēzekne FA Mārupe
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins30%36%33%45%40%43%
Draws30%27%29%9%0%5%
Loses40%36%38%45%60%52%

Form: Rēzekne FA: WLLLWDDWDLLWLDDDLWWLW • Mārupe: WWLWLLWLDWWLLWWLLLWLL

League goals

Metric Rēzekne FA Mārupe
HATHAT
GF total101828121224
GF avg1.01.61.31.11.21.1
GA total152742121628
GA avg1.52.52.01.11.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRēzekne FAMārupe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%81%76%76%
1.538%43%29%33%
2.514%29%5%19%
3.55%14%5%5%
4.55%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRēzekne FAMārupe
HATHAT
Clean sheets314415
Failed to score426235

Penalties

MetricRēzekne FAMārupe
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricRēzekne FAMārupe
Wins22
Draws31
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-52-01-4
Biggest losses2-58-10-34-1
Goals For3524
Goals Against5834

Model comparison

MetricRēzekne FAMārupe
Form75%25%
Att79%21%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total58.7%41.3%

Advice: Double chance : Rēzekne FA or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.42 @ 1xBet
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away1.95 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Betfair
No2.40 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rēzekne FA = 0.86 (league 1.85), Mārupe = 1.22 (league 1.47)

Mārupe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rēzekne FA 0 12.4% 15.2% 9.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.7% 13.1% 8.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.6% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.1% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 44.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1