1. Liga — Latvia
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:00 • Tepera stadions
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.86 (league 1.82) 0.81 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.2% 12.9% 7.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.4%
3 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Tukums II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Smiltene 0 2.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.2% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.4% 8.4% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.9% 8.1% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.1% 5.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.1% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSmilteneTukums II
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack56%19%
Defense44%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.817 | 3.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Smiltene Tukums II
HATHAT
Played91221111021
Wins44%25%33%27%20%24%
Draws11%8%10%0%10%5%
Loses44%67%57%73%70%71%

Form: Smiltene: LWDLLWLWWWLLLLWLWLLDL • Tukums II: LWWLLDWLLLLLLLLWLLLWL

League goals

Metric Smiltene Tukums II
HATHAT
GF total23163919625
GF avg2.61.31.91.70.61.2
GA total182038272047
GA avg2.01.71.82.52.02.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSmilteneTukums II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%71%90%
1.552%62%14%57%
2.524%24%10%33%
3.514%10%5%29%
4.510%0%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSmilteneTukums II
HATHAT
Clean sheets123022
Failed to score123246

Penalties

MetricSmilteneTukums II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSmilteneTukums II
Wins32
Draws11
Losses48

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-38-10-1
Biggest losses0-43-10-74-0
Goals For5381
Goals Against4374

Model comparison

MetricSmilteneTukums II
Form57%43%
Att75%25%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h40%60%
Goals36%64%
Total58.5%41.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : Smiltene and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.59 @ Superbet
Draw4.33 @ Marathonbet
Away4.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.43 @ Marathonbet
No2.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Smiltene = 2.86 (league 1.82), Tukums II = 0.81 (league 1.47)

Tukums II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Smiltene 0 2.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.2% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.4% 8.4% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.9% 8.1% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.1% 5.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.1% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.2% · Draw 12.9% · Away win 7.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1